Adam Lowry vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Pageau 55.0% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 73.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 76.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Lowry
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lowry
Pageau
Last 8: Lowry 2-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
3
Lowry
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Lowry
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Lowry
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
57.1% (905)
-7.8%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
55.2% (116)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
48.0% (204)
-5.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Lowry
Pageau
Home
50.2% (671)
57.0% (618)
Away
47.8% (709)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Lowry
Pageau
P1
48.4%
54.4%
P2
50.1%
61.0%
P3
47.8%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |