Adam Lowry vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Pageau 58.7% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 50.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 67.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Lowry
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lowry
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Lowry
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Lowry
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
59.6% (711)
-5.9%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
64.0% (114)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
56.4% (163)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Lowry
Pageau
Home
53.0% (583)
59.3% (506)
Away
50.6% (605)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Lowry
Pageau
P1
52.1%
56.8%
P2
51.8%
64.4%
P3
52.3%
56.9%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |