Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Tavares 53.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 93.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 71.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 70.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Lowry
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Lowry
Tavares
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
54.0% (1,077)
-7.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
54.5% (275)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
50.0% (18)
-5.2%
On even strength, Tavares has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lowry is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Lowry shoots left. Tavares is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Lowry
Tavares
Home
49.9% (393)
56.8% (655)
Away
43.1% (452)
51.6% (715)
By Period
Lowry
Tavares
P1
45.1%
54.1%
P2
44.8%
53.9%
P3
49.1%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
46.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 16:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |