Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Tavares 59.8% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Lowry
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Lowry
Tavares
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Lowry
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Lowry
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
60.9% (1,043)
-5.1%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
60.4% (278)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
47.6% (21)
-5.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Lowry
Tavares
Home
53.4% (515)
63.5% (684)
Away
52.6% (549)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Lowry
Tavares
P1
54.2%
60.3%
P2
54.4%
60.4%
P3
50.8%
60.1%
OT
37.5%
92.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |