Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (96% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Tavares 54.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 30-14 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 66.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 90.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 73.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Lowry
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
30
(44 meetings)
14
30
Lowry
Tavares
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
23
Lowry
Tavares
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
4
Lowry
Tavares
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
3
Lowry
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (523)
54.5% (692)
-3.1%
Power Play
56.7% (30)
59.1% (149)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (162)
54.5% (11)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lowry is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Lowry shoots left. Tavares is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Lowry
Tavares
Home
50.3% (354)
57.9% (404)
Away
50.7% (361)
52.9% (448)
By Period
Lowry
Tavares
P1
48.5%
54.2%
P2
52.2%
55.1%
P3
50.9%
56.4%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.0%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2021 | OT | 01:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |