Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Norris 52.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 22-17 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 83.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 59.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 56.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Lowry
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
17
(39 meetings)
22
17
Lowry
Norris
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
6
7
Lowry
Norris
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
9
1
Lowry
Norris
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
7
9
Lowry
Norris
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (523)
53.4% (635)
-2.0%
Power Play
56.7% (30)
50.0% (70)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (162)
26.3% (19)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Lowry is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Lowry shoots left. Norris is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Lowry
Norris
Home
50.3% (354)
52.7% (366)
Away
50.7% (361)
52.0% (358)
By Period
Lowry
Norris
P1
48.5%
50.4%
P2
52.2%
53.9%
P3
50.9%
52.2%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.5%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |