Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.1%). Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Norris 52.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 31-20 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 78.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 66.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.3%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Lowry
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
20
(51 meetings)
31
20
Lowry
Norris
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
7
Lowry
Norris
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
12
1
Lowry
Norris
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
11
12
Lowry
Norris
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
52.5% (3,057)
+0.3%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
53.7% (404)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
45.4% (240)
-0.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Home / Away
Lowry
Norris
Home
53.5% (5,893)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Lowry
Norris
P1
51.5%
55.6%
P2
51.8%
51.4%
P3
51.4%
50.1%
OT
46.3%
40.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OT | 02:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Josh Norris |