Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Norris 51.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 68.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 51.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Lowry
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lowry
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
52.2% (542)
-2.9%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
54.4% (57)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
46.7% (30)
-4.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Lowry
Norris
Home
50.2% (671)
50.7% (351)
Away
47.8% (709)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Lowry
Norris
P1
48.4%
55.6%
P2
50.1%
49.3%
P3
47.8%
52.1%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | OT | 02:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Josh Norris |