Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Norris 49.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 56.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 82.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 67.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Lowry
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lowry
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Norris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
50.0% (356)
+5.4%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
48.7% (76)
+34.6%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
42.9% (7)
-2.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Lowry
Norris
Home
54.5% (402)
47.2% (193)
Away
53.3% (368)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Lowry
Norris
P1
52.4%
53.8%
P2
56.0%
48.2%
P3
54.2%
47.9%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |