Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Norris 51.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 59.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 62.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Lowry
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lowry
Norris
Last 5: Lowry 3-2 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Norris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
51.2% (886)
+4.6%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
59.0% (83)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
38.8% (67)
+3.5%
On even strength, Lowry has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Lowry
Norris
Home
53.4% (515)
55.6% (487)
Away
52.6% (549)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Lowry
Norris
P1
54.2%
54.8%
P2
54.4%
51.3%
P3
50.8%
48.0%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
53.0%
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Josh Norris |