Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs McTavish 43.3% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 63.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Lowry
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lowry
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Lowry
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
42.4% (675)
+10.3%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
40.5% (42)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
50.0% (8)
-10.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Lowry
McTavish
Home
52.4% (597)
41.9% (372)
Away
48.4% (583)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Lowry
McTavish
P1
48.5%
47.2%
P2
52.2%
36.2%
P3
50.5%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |