Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs McTavish 48.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 57.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Lowry
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
12
(28 meetings)
16
12
Lowry
McTavish
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
3
Lowry
McTavish
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
3
Lowry
McTavish
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Lowry
McTavish
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
48.2% (2,788)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
52.6% (435)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
34.3% (35)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
Home / Away
Lowry
McTavish
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Lowry
McTavish
P1
51.5%
50.0%
P2
51.8%
47.8%
P3
51.4%
48.4%
OT
46.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |