Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs McTavish 50.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 70.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 54.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Lowry
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Lowry
McTavish
Last 8: Lowry 6-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Lowry
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
McTavish
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
51.1% (769)
+2.6%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
50.6% (178)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
28.6% (14)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Lowry
McTavish
Home
53.0% (583)
52.3% (461)
Away
50.6% (605)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Lowry
McTavish
P1
52.1%
51.5%
P2
51.8%
54.0%
P3
52.3%
47.1%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |