Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs McCarron 53.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 54.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Lowry
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
57.5% (308)
-1.7%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
50.0% (2)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
32.6% (43)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Lowry
McCarron
Home
53.4% (515)
48.3% (147)
Away
52.6% (549)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Lowry
McCarron
P1
54.2%
53.4%
P2
54.4%
59.5%
P3
50.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |