Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs McCarron 54.9% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 77.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 51.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 55.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Lowry
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lowry
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
62.8% (86)
-10.1%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
50.0% (2)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
44.4% (18)
-4.4%
On even strength, McCarron has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Lowry
McCarron
Home
52.4% (597)
59.5% (42)
Away
48.4% (583)
59.4% (64)
By Period
Lowry
McCarron
P1
48.5%
71.0%
P2
52.2%
48.7%
P3
50.5%
61.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |