Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs McCarron 52.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 55.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 61.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 54.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Lowry
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Lowry
McCarron
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
2
Lowry
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
3
Lowry
McCarron
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
3
Lowry
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
54.5% (618)
-5.2%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
42.1% (19)
+25.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
35.3% (34)
+7.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Lowry
McCarron
Home
50.2% (671)
52.2% (339)
Away
47.8% (709)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Lowry
McCarron
P1
48.4%
53.5%
P2
50.1%
50.6%
P3
47.8%
55.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |