Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Frost 48.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 68.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Lowry
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Lowry
Frost
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Lowry
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Lowry
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
2
Lowry
Frost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
47.4% (426)
+8.4%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
63.9% (36)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
20.0% (5)
+22.3%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Lowry
Frost
Home
53.4% (515)
51.1% (221)
Away
52.6% (549)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Lowry
Frost
P1
54.2%
47.5%
P2
54.4%
52.3%
P3
50.8%
44.7%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |