Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Frost 46.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 63.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 62.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Lowry
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Frost
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Lowry
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
45.6% (833)
+7.1%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
46.0% (100)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
55.6% (18)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Lowry
Frost
Home
52.4% (597)
47.0% (440)
Away
48.4% (583)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Lowry
Frost
P1
48.5%
42.5%
P2
52.2%
47.9%
P3
50.5%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |