Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Frost 50.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 81.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Lowry
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
10
(26 meetings)
16
10
Lowry
Frost
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lowry
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
3
Lowry
Frost
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
4
Lowry
Frost
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
49.4% (3,598)
+3.4%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
55.5% (625)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
52.8% (36)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Lowry
Frost
Home
53.5% (5,893)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Lowry
Frost
P1
51.5%
50.8%
P2
51.8%
51.1%
P3
51.4%
48.5%
OT
46.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |