Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Foligno 51.8% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 63.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 71.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Lowry
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
58.1% (31)
-2.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
50.0% (2)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
50.0% (6)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Lowry
Foligno
Home
53.4% (515)
56.3% (16)
Away
52.6% (549)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Lowry
Foligno
P1
54.2%
50.0%
P2
54.4%
66.7%
P3
50.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%