Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Foligno 48.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 62.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 67.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.9%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Lowry
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Lowry
Foligno
Last 7: Lowry 3-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
4
Lowry
Foligno
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
48.7% (495)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
56.9% (65)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
43.8% (144)
-1.1%
On even strength, Lowry has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Lowry
Foligno
Home
53.0% (583)
49.6% (359)
Away
50.6% (605)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Lowry
Foligno
P1
52.1%
46.7%
P2
51.8%
52.7%
P3
52.3%
46.7%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |