Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Foligno 52.3% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 69.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 67.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Lowry
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
52.0% (50)
+0.7%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
66.7% (21)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
0.0% (1)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Lowry
Foligno
Home
52.4% (597)
51.2% (41)
Away
48.4% (583)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Lowry
Foligno
P1
48.5%
55.6%
P2
52.2%
48.0%
P3
50.5%
65.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%