Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Foligno 52.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 73.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Lowry
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lowry
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Lowry
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
53.4% (249)
-4.1%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
53.2% (154)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
40.6% (32)
+2.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Lowry
Foligno
Home
50.2% (671)
57.3% (225)
Away
47.8% (709)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Lowry
Foligno
P1
48.4%
53.0%
P2
50.1%
51.8%
P3
47.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |