Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Paul 51.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 50.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 58.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Lowry
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Lowry
Paul
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
3
4
Lowry
Paul
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Lowry
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Lowry
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (523)
56.2% (274)
-4.8%
Power Play
56.7% (30)
52.9% (17)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (162)
43.4% (129)
+2.9%
On even strength, Paul has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lowry is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Lowry shoots left. Paul is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Lowry
Paul
Home
50.3% (354)
52.3% (235)
Away
50.7% (361)
51.9% (185)
By Period
Lowry
Paul
P1
48.5%
53.2%
P2
52.2%
53.8%
P3
50.9%
49.3%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Nick Paul |