Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Paul 50.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 55.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Lowry
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Lowry
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
53.0% (644)
+2.8%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
37.5% (24)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
42.9% (177)
-0.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Lowry
Paul
Home
53.4% (515)
52.5% (516)
Away
52.6% (549)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Lowry
Paul
P1
54.2%
47.6%
P2
54.4%
48.4%
P3
50.8%
54.5%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Nick Paul |