Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Paul 50.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 70.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Lowry
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lowry
Paul
Last 6: Lowry 1-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Lowry
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Lowry
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Lowry
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
48.8% (666)
+4.9%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
53.8% (65)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
60.0% (55)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Lowry
Paul
Home
53.0% (583)
49.7% (348)
Away
50.6% (605)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Lowry
Paul
P1
52.1%
51.0%
P2
51.8%
47.4%
P3
52.3%
51.5%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Nick Paul |