Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Roy 48.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 64.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 65.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Lowry
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lowry
Roy
Last 6: Lowry 3-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Lowry
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
49.5% (746)
+6.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
50.7% (75)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
42.7% (110)
-0.4%
On even strength, Lowry has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Lowry
Roy
Home
53.4% (515)
47.7% (491)
Away
52.6% (549)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Lowry
Roy
P1
54.2%
51.1%
P2
54.4%
44.6%
P3
50.8%
50.9%
OT
37.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |