Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Roy 47.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 56.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 51.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Lowry
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lowry
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Lowry
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
47.5% (617)
+1.8%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
39.6% (53)
+28.1%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
46.4% (97)
-3.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Lowry
Roy
Home
50.2% (671)
47.2% (398)
Away
47.8% (709)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Lowry
Roy
P1
48.4%
48.6%
P2
50.1%
48.8%
P3
47.8%
43.9%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |