Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Roy 48.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 62.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 71.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 67.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Lowry
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lowry
Roy
Last 9: Lowry 7-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Lowry
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
48.3% (633)
+4.4%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
52.1% (48)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
43.7% (87)
-3.7%
On even strength, Lowry has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Lowry
Roy
Home
52.4% (597)
50.8% (376)
Away
48.4% (583)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Lowry
Roy
P1
48.5%
53.8%
P2
52.2%
43.5%
P3
50.5%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |