Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Roy 47.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 64.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 70.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Lowry
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lowry
Roy
Last 6: Lowry 3-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Lowry
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
48.6% (679)
+5.1%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
48.0% (50)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
34.7% (49)
+8.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Lowry
Roy
Home
53.0% (583)
49.3% (345)
Away
50.6% (605)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Lowry
Roy
P1
52.1%
47.6%
P2
51.8%
47.1%
P3
52.3%
47.9%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |