Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Zacha 50.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 52.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 71.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Lowry
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lowry
Zacha
Last 6: Lowry 5-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
48.0% (296)
+7.8%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
61.0% (59)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
50.0% (22)
-7.7%
On even strength, Lowry has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zacha
Home
53.4% (515)
48.9% (223)
Away
52.6% (549)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Lowry
Zacha
P1
54.2%
47.9%
P2
54.4%
48.3%
P3
50.8%
54.3%
OT
37.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |