Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Zacha 54.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 75.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Lowry
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Lowry
Zacha
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
5
Lowry
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Lowry
Zacha
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
53.9% (787)
-4.6%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
63.2% (193)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
44.3% (88)
-1.7%
On even strength, Zacha has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zacha
Home
50.2% (671)
56.7% (538)
Away
47.8% (709)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Lowry
Zacha
P1
48.4%
52.6%
P2
50.1%
54.8%
P3
47.8%
56.8%
OT
66.7%
59.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |