Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Zacha 49.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 20-14 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 56.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 68.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Lowry
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
14
(34 meetings)
20
14
Lowry
Zacha
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
6
Lowry
Zacha
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
10
2
Lowry
Zacha
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Lowry
Zacha
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
48.9% (5,102)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
55.6% (804)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
42.2% (555)
+2.7%
On even strength, Lowry has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zacha
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Lowry
Zacha
P1
51.5%
49.9%
P2
51.8%
49.2%
P3
51.4%
48.1%
OT
46.3%
53.1%
Final 5 min
52.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |