Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Zacha 52.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 76.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Lowry
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Lowry
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
54.1% (534)
-0.4%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
56.0% (109)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
44.8% (96)
-2.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zacha
Home
53.0% (583)
53.4% (406)
Away
50.6% (605)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Lowry
Zacha
P1
52.1%
56.8%
P2
51.8%
53.6%
P3
52.3%
49.2%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |