Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs McLeod 47.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 66.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Lowry
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lowry
McLeod
Last 7: Lowry 4-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Lowry
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
49.2% (796)
+6.2%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
44.8% (87)
+38.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
43.3% (263)
-2.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Lowry
McLeod
Home
54.5% (402)
49.2% (575)
Away
53.3% (368)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Lowry
McLeod
P1
52.4%
52.8%
P2
56.0%
45.1%
P3
54.2%
45.6%
OT
40.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
58.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |