Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs McLeod 47.7% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 54.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 84.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 80.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Lowry
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Lowry
McLeod
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Lowry
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
47.8% (448)
+8.0%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
48.1% (52)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
36.0% (25)
+6.3%
On even strength, Lowry has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Lowry
McLeod
Home
53.4% (515)
46.6% (253)
Away
52.6% (549)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Lowry
McLeod
P1
54.2%
43.9%
P2
54.4%
45.9%
P3
50.8%
52.1%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |