Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs McLeod 52.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 70.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 55.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Lowry
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lowry
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
52.9% (904)
+0.8%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
57.6% (59)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
49.0% (241)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Lowry
McLeod
Home
53.0% (583)
51.8% (612)
Away
50.6% (605)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Lowry
McLeod
P1
52.1%
55.4%
P2
51.8%
50.8%
P3
52.3%
51.6%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |