Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs McLeod 49.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 74.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Lowry
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
10
(28 meetings)
18
10
Lowry
McLeod
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
6
Lowry
McLeod
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
11
2
Lowry
McLeod
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
2
Lowry
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
50.4% (3,345)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
51.0% (292)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
44.3% (635)
+0.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Lowry
McLeod
Home
53.5% (5,893)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Lowry
McLeod
P1
51.5%
50.8%
P2
51.8%
48.4%
P3
51.4%
50.0%
OT
46.3%
37.1%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |