Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs McLeod 50.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 82.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 52.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 63.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Lowry
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lowry
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
51.3% (628)
-2.0%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
68.3% (41)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
30.6% (49)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Lowry
McLeod
Home
50.2% (671)
51.5% (394)
Away
47.8% (709)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Lowry
McLeod
P1
48.4%
51.5%
P2
50.1%
47.0%
P3
47.8%
54.3%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |