Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 55.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Lowry
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Lowry
O'Reilly
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
7
Lowry
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
3
Lowry
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
56.6% (1,064)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
60.4% (260)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
54.0% (261)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Lowry
O'Reilly
Home
53.4% (515)
54.9% (801)
Away
52.6% (549)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Lowry
O'Reilly
P1
54.2%
58.0%
P2
54.4%
56.7%
P3
50.8%
55.4%
OT
37.5%
64.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |