Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Crosby 55.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 65.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 73.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Lowry
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lowry
Crosby
Last 7: Lowry 2-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Lowry
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Lowry
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
55.9% (676)
+0.3%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
56.7% (171)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
46.3% (41)
-2.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lowry is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Lowry shoots left. Crosby is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Lowry
Crosby
Home
57.8% (341)
57.7% (454)
Away
49.4% (308)
53.5% (434)
By Period
Lowry
Crosby
P1
53.2%
55.9%
P2
54.4%
53.0%
P3
53.0%
57.7%
OT
80.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |