Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 44 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Crosby 53.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 62-50 in 112 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 61.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 67.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Lowry
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
62
(112 meetings)
50
62
Lowry
Crosby
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
10
34
Lowry
Crosby
44 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
24
10
Lowry
Crosby
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
16
18
Lowry
Crosby
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
52.8% (17,990)
+0.0%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
57.4% (4,733)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
47.1% (765)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Lowry
Crosby
Home
53.5% (5,893)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Lowry
Crosby
P1
51.5%
53.6%
P2
51.8%
53.9%
P3
51.4%
53.3%
OT
46.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | OT | 03:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2026 | OT | 01:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |