Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Crosby 55.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 85.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 56.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Lowry
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lowry
Crosby
Last 9: Lowry 5-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Lowry
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
53.7% (984)
+1.7%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
64.7% (241)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
64.3% (14)
-23.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Lowry
Crosby
Home
54.5% (402)
56.9% (649)
Away
53.3% (368)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Lowry
Crosby
P1
52.4%
55.8%
P2
56.0%
53.2%
P3
54.2%
58.7%
OT
40.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
58.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | OT | 03:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2026 | OT | 01:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |