Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.4%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Crosby 52.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 78.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Lowry
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lowry
Crosby
Last 6: Lowry 3-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Lowry
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
50.8% (1,169)
+5.0%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
60.2% (261)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
45.0% (20)
-2.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Lowry
Crosby
Home
53.4% (515)
53.2% (726)
Away
52.6% (549)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Lowry
Crosby
P1
54.2%
51.3%
P2
54.4%
52.1%
P3
50.8%
54.1%
OT
37.5%
45.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |