Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Crosby 52.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 79.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 84.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Lowry
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
Lowry
Crosby
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
Lowry
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
1
Lowry
Crosby
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
7
Lowry
Crosby
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
52.5% (1,443)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
54.7% (369)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
55.9% (34)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Lowry
Crosby
Home
52.4% (597)
53.0% (931)
Away
48.4% (583)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Lowry
Crosby
P1
48.5%
50.3%
P2
52.2%
55.4%
P3
50.5%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:39 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |