Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Lorentz 48.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 84.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 76.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Lowry
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Lorentz
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
1
2
Lowry
Lorentz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
48.9% (1,118)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
50.0% (26)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
41.9% (86)
+3.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Lorentz is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lorentz
Home
53.5% (5,893)
50.8% (606)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Lowry
Lorentz
P1
51.5%
53.0%
P2
51.8%
46.8%
P3
51.4%
46.1%
OT
46.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |