Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Lorentz 50.0% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 54.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.1%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 50.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Lowry
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
52.2% (67)
+3.2%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (2)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
42.9% (21)
-2.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Lorentz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lorentz
Home
54.5% (402)
55.4% (65)
Away
53.3% (368)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Lowry
Lorentz
P1
52.4%
59.3%
P2
56.0%
47.1%
P3
54.2%
44.8%
Final 5 min
58.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%