Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 68.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Lowry
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Lorentz
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
1
2
Lowry
Lorentz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
48.3% (497)
+4.4%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
63.6% (11)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
38.5% (39)
+1.5%
On power play, Lorentz has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lorentz
Home
52.4% (597)
50.4% (238)
Away
48.4% (583)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Lowry
Lorentz
P1
48.5%
49.1%
P2
52.2%
48.0%
P3
50.5%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |