Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Lorentz 49.4% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 69.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Lowry
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
48.9% (135)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
50.0% (4)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Lorentz is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lorentz
Home
50.2% (671)
50.7% (75)
Away
47.8% (709)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Lowry
Lorentz
P1
48.4%
60.0%
P2
50.1%
46.3%
P3
47.8%
44.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%