Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+7.5%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 72.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Lowry
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
46.5% (101)
+9.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
33.3% (3)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
37.5% (8)
+4.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Lorentz is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lorentz
Home
53.4% (515)
49.1% (53)
Away
52.6% (549)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Lowry
Lorentz
P1
54.2%
48.6%
P2
54.4%
36.7%
P3
50.8%
57.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%